Sunday Morning Visual Graphic Update Montgomery County Executive Race And Projections – Elrich Gains In Actual And Projected From Yesterday’s Mail-Ins – Democratic Primary – 7/31/22

Introduction (Read this first)

These charts are similar and a follow up to our previous posts which can all be found here.

Updates And Remaining Votes To Count

  • So far to date there are at least 60,144 Democratic mail-ins received in Montgomery County and 48,294 mail-in votes tallied for the 4 County Executive candidates.
    • There are Actually AT LEAST 50,048 democratic mail in votes tabulated – this is the total for the U.S. Senator Race.
      • This means at least 360 left their County Executive ballot blank
      • It is possible that the race is decided by less people than left it blank.
    • There are another 8030 Provisional ballots that are just starting to be counted.
    • Any ballots received by 7/29/2022 that are postmarked by 8pm 7/19 will still count and those are still being counted.

You can see Montgomery County Election Data here

In the images you can zoom in and look at the white line that shows the relativity to the leader. We have also provided close ups due to the incredibly close nature of this race.

NEW TikTok 10 Second Video Version Of This Post

@moderatelymoco

Updated actuals and projections in the Moco County Executive race. Blair still in lead by just 21 votes but Elrich gaining and ahead in projection. More details on our website www.moderatelymoco.com #montgomerycountymd #countyexecutive #mocomd #2022primaries #vote #votelocal #localelections #localelections2022

♬ Jeopardy Main Theme – Geek Music

If you are on TikTok, Please FOLLOW, help BUILD

Current Race Totals

Projections

Disclosure – These are PROJECTIONS based on previous voting totals and remaining votes to count. These are NOT PREDICTIONS about what the final result will be.

Projection Table

Here is a part of the table that shows the exact number of current and projected votes and in the last column the difference between current and projected.

Note: now included all 4 candidates to see how they all fared.

Previous Projections

What has changed since yesterday is that Elrich extended his projection lead while also gaining in the actual lead by a significant margin.

Visual Graphic Update Montgomery County Executive Race And Projections – Blair Still Leads By 131 But Elrich Closes The Gap In Today’s Mail-Ins – Democratic Primary – 7/29/22

Conclusion

Hard to take too much from this one day but it was a huge day for Elrich.

As provisional ballots start to be counted they will be key for Blair to keep his lead.

There are still about 18,000 ballots (including mail-ins and provisional ballots) to be counted and the lead is under 100.

This will go the distance then probably end up recounting or in courts for a few weeks.

Contact us to inquire about Internship Opportunities

Contact us via the website or email us contact@moderatelymoco.com
Voting Data Analysis Repository – 2022 Primary Election – Moderately MOCO