Introduction
See our previous posts on the County Executive race analysis and projections here
Voting Registration Data as of 2022 Primary can be found here.
Over the weekend Elrich claimed victory and Blair held out hope and indicating a recount is coming. More from their statements about this after the charts analysis.
You can see the 12 second video summary of this post here: https://www.tiktok.com/@moderatelymoco/video/7129295399495421226
Victory Margin Analysis
With such an incredibly small victory margin of JUST 42 VOTES, we wanted to do some images to show just small that margin is compared to the county population and registered voters.
Note that in most of these the Victory Margin is so small you basically just cannot see it.
Full Chart
Registered Voters and Voted
How Democrats Voted
How Democrats Voted For CE
Final Zoom in On Victory Margin
Competing Claims Over Weekend By Elrich and Blair Teams
Both the Elrich and Blair teams sent out a PR message as the county Board of Elections (BOE) finished up counting votes today
Elrich Claims Victory Saturday Night
On Saturday night (8/6/2022), the BOE released data showing Elrich led by 42 and announcing that only 34 possible ballots remained.
Elrich posted claiming victory in the race at this point with the numbers not possible for him to lose:
Blair Says AP Still Says Too Close To Call; Recount Coming
Sunday Morning Blair states AP declared the race too closed to call and says they will be requesting a recount.
In Late Night Tweet, Elrich Responds To Recount Question With Many Typos
This led many commenters to question the state of the County Executive at the time and why the tweet was not deleted. Link here.
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