Introduction (Read this first)

These charts are similar and a follow up to our previous posts which can all be found here.

Updates And Remaining Votes To Count

• So far to date there are at least 63,595 Democratic mail-ins received in Montgomery County and 58,210 mail-in votes tallied for the 4 County Executive candidates.
  • There are Actually AT LEAST 58,757 democratic mail in votes tabulated – this is the total for the U.S. Senator Race.
    • This means at least 547 left their County Executive ballot blank
    • It is likely that the race is decided by less people than left it blank.
  • There are another 7,250 Provisional ballots that have not been counted yet.

You can see Montgomery County Election Data here

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Projection Table

Here is our actual and projection table which has a little extra information this time (zoom in or save to see good)

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See this post in 20 second video form

@moderatelymoco

8/3 MOCO Maryland County Executive Race Update – Blair gains but Elrich still ahead. New to this #tiktok but threw in some new tricks I hope this helps make #localpolitics more accessible. See website for full charts and details. https://moderatelymoco.com/8-3-democratic-county-executive-update-actuals-and-projections-blair-narrows-elrich-lead-but-elrich-maintains-projected-lead-thousands-of-ballots-remain/#countyexecutive #mocomd #2022primaries #votelocal #localelections #beinformed #localelections2022 #montgomerycountymd #politics #marylandpolitics #localnews #politicssimplified

♬ She Share Story (for Vlog) – 山口夕依

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Projections

Disclosure – These are PROJECTIONS based on previous voting totals and remaining votes to count. These are NOT PREDICTIONS about what the final result will be.

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Where Are The Mail-Ins Coming From?

The past few days the mail-in ballots have favored Elrich by quite a bit. This is partially due to the makeup of the remaining mail-in ballots.

Here we look at which Council Districts the mail-in votes came the last 3 days by looking at the County Council votes.

8/3/22 – Democratic counted mail-in votes

Mail-in votes today were extremely different from the past two days below. Heavily in favor of District 1 with District 4 second to last. Districts 3 and 7 also had a strong day.

8/2/22 – Democratic counted mail-in votes

Here is the makeup of where Democratic counted mail-in votes came from today (8/2/22) which favored Elrich by 53 votes.

In this one, District 4 (Takoma Park/Silver Spring/North Bethesda) and District 3 (Gaithersburg/Rockville) both had over 20% and District 2 (Germantown/Clarksburg/Poolesville) was third at 17%.

8/1/22 – Democratic counted mail-in votes

Here is the makeup of where Democratic counted mail-in votes came from yesterday (8/1/22) which favored Elrich by relatively large margin.

You can see that here districts 1 and 4 (Bethesda/Potomac and Takoma Park/Silver Spring/North Bethesda) have the most with 2 and 7 the lowest (the more up county districts)

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